In this month’s video, I look at the overall trends in global stock markets with emphasis on the complacency and low volatility. Chart review includes analysis of U.S. stocks, international stocks, interest rates, U.S. dollar index, and volatility. Observations of risk and reward are noted throughout, with an emphasis on trend following and sensible portfolio management strategies. Recorded on September 24, 2017.
The summer is rapidly closing and a new season will shortly be upon us. The seasonality of the markets this time of year has always been a tricky proposition as well. With that in mind, I’m going to outline my current thoughts on some of the big picture charts. Read more
Buying the dip in any stock or index can be a difficult task for an active investor. Not only do you have to worry about trade location, but also key factors such as initial position size and risk management parameters. There is a lot to take in and easily second guess yourself when looking to start a new position in the teeth of a correction. Read more
The halfway point of 2017 is nearly upon us and as investors consider market dynamics, there is much to be both excited and worried about. The following are some of the most interesting charts on my radar right now and their implications for your portfolio.
PowerShares QQQ (QQQ)
In my opinion, no other major index can define the resilience of growth stocks better than the NASDAQ-100 over the last several years. This ebullient group of the 100 largest non-financial stocks on the NASDAQ Stock Exchange has now spent 137 trading days above its 50-day moving average. That’s a new all-time record according to Charlie Bilello of Pension Partners. Read more
The investment universe is littered with articles touting the advantages of various funds or strategies. I should know. I have written for the last five years about the characteristics of ETFs and closed-end funds that we consider for our clients. Some pass my rigorous test, while others are weeded out through careful analysis.
Throughout this time, I have realized it’s easy to compare two or three funds in a vertical category and dissect their merits. Some will stand out based on costs, while others may promote index methodology, tax efficiency, or security selection as their primary benefits. Read more