FMD Capital Management

Posts Tagged: trend following

Great Investment versus Great Timing

Written by David Fabian, June 05th, 2017

The investment universe is littered with articles touting the advantages of various funds or strategies.  I should know.  I have written for the last five years about the characteristics of ETFs and closed-end funds that we consider for our clients.  Some pass my rigorous test, while others are weeded out through careful analysis.

Throughout this time, I have realized it’s easy to compare two or three funds in a vertical category and dissect their merits.  Some will stand out based on costs, while others may promote index methodology, tax efficiency, or security selection as their primary benefits.  Read more

VIDEO: A Tale of Two Markets

Written by David Fabian, May 31st, 2017

In this month’s video, I look at the technical trends developing in growth versus value stocks.  Chart review includes analysis of large-cap, small cap, international, Treasury bonds, and high yield bond ETF prices.  Observations of risk and reward are noted throughout, with an emphasis on trend following and sensible portfolio management.  Recorded on May 31, 2017.

A log of our previous videos are posted here.

Join our weekly blog roundup of the latest ETF and CEF articles, along with timely market analysis.  Subscribe here.

Contemplating Risk At All-Time Highs In Stocks

Written by David Fabian, May 29th, 2017

It’s easy to get sucked into the tunnel vision of an easy market.  Trends are strong, liquidity is abundant, credit markets are cheerful, and volatility is low.  This is when it becomes easy to get complacent.  To trick yourself into believing the recent past will extend indefinitely into the future.  It’s a mental trap that even the most tenured investors find themselves falling into over various cycles. Read more

VIDEO: ETF Trends and Technical Opportunities

Written by David Fabian, April 11th, 2017

In this month’s video, I look at the technical trends developing in stocks and bonds.  Chart review includes analysis of large-cap, small cap, international, Treasury bonds, and gold prices.  Observations of risk and reward are noted throughout with an emphasis on moving averages as a source of support or resistance.  Recorded on April 11, 2017.

A log of our previous videos are posted here.

Join our weekly blog roundup of the latest ETF and CEF articles, along with timely market analysis.  Subscribe here.

3 ETF Charts Showing Red Flags

Written by David Fabian, March 22nd, 2017

I’m normally an optimistic, “glass-half-full” kind of guy.  I roll my eyes every time I see a headline decrying the next market crash or cataclysmic event that will cripple the global economy.  I’m quick to discern speculation from truths and prefer taking the opposite side of most mainstream assumptions.

It’s not that I see everything through rose colored glasses, but rather that I have found an unruffled approach to be a strong foundation for better decision making.  Navigating the markets with a calm and calculated strategy produces far superior returns than simply worrying about what dangers might lurk around every corner.  Read more